Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.352082 0.417319 0.490116 0.577206 0.678387 0.792057 0.929253
2025-02-02 0.282276 0.374635 0.488564 0.638668 0.830375 1.066081 1.376796
2025-02-09 0.231345 0.333881 0.470030 0.662409 0.925309 1.269784 1.752673
2025-02-16 0.187460 0.290617 0.436416 0.654888 0.970700 1.406722 2.049318
2025-02-23 0.151414 0.250427 0.398447 0.632153 0.987154 1.500224 2.289965
2025-03-02 0.122435 0.215078 0.360958 0.602618 0.986656 1.565118 2.490952
2025-03-09 0.109680 0.203059 0.356870 0.622415 1.061001 1.745204 2.876923
2025-03-16 0.091686 0.178999 0.329476 0.600216 1.064819 1.815112 3.096872
2025-03-23 0.082651 0.169153 0.324321 0.613813 1.127472 1.982267 3.483861
2025-03-30 0.074534 0.159610 0.318173 0.624376 1.185113 2.144964 3.875718
2025-04-06 0.065419 0.146601 0.303798 0.617929 1.211393 2.255818 4.187788
2025-04-13 0.057845 0.135440 0.291311 0.613154 1.239478 2.371036 4.515189
2025-04-20 0.053762 0.131343 0.292800 0.636804 1.325452 2.600996 5.073668
2025-04-27 0.054075 0.137029 0.314989 0.704450 1.503053 3.013776 5.999144
2025-05-04 0.050511 0.133265 0.316815 0.730448 1.601084 3.286147 6.685867
2025-05-11 0.044656 0.123047 0.303248 0.722217 1.628909 3.426668 7.133945
2025-05-18 0.038426 0.110749 0.283238 0.697329 1.619198 3.492449 7.441832
2025-05-25 0.032611 0.098389 0.261233 0.664990 1.589730 3.515404 7.665645
2025-06-01 0.030664 0.095994 0.262652 0.686668 1.680003 3.789077 8.414341
2025-06-08 0.026499 0.086649 0.245590 0.662359 1.664736 3.841474 8.712090
2025-06-15 0.024731 0.083861 0.244742 0.677250 1.740243 4.091632 9.440259
2025-06-22 0.022973 0.080775 0.242679 0.688815 1.808959 4.332144 10.164783
2025-06-29 0.020632 0.075431 0.233776 0.681756 1.832344 4.474415 10.686758